The Bush
administration's repetition
of the phrase "war on terror" or the word "terror" which
peppered its pronouncements, is gradually fading,
with the "The Long War" taking its place. President
Bush's reference to South Korea, where we still
have 37,000 troops after the armistice that ended
the Korean War 54 years ago, is an example of what
he envisions in a future Iraq.
The ongoing Afghan war is indicative of a long
war for it began in the 1970's as a Cold War CIA
operation designed to overthrow Afghanistan's Soviet-friendly
government and lure an overextended Soviet Union
into their "Vietnam". U.S. strategy was successful
but the blowback—a CIA term for unforeseen
consequences—led directly to Osama bin Laden
and his fighters from the Arab, Muslim and Western
world.
Five mujahideen groups and bin Laden's mostly
foreign fighters, armed with the latest U.S. weapons,
including the Stinger heat seeking missile, waged
a devastating guerrilla war resulting in the Soviets'
ignominious defeat. The principle that a foreign
invasion of a Muslim country must be resisted by
all Muslims and the fact that one of the two superpowers
had been vanquished empowered the victors.
The United States walked away from the Afghan wreckage
leaving the armed-to-the-teeth mujahideen to
fight for control of the country. Millions of Afghan
refugees left for Pakistan and beyond. Young Afghan
refugees, some Pakistanis and others went to Saudi-funded madrassas. They
were taught fundamentalist Salafi Islam and trained
to take back their country from the guerrilla fighters
that were destroying it.
They were the Taliban, students in Pashto, the language
of the area that comprises south-west Pakistan and
southern Afghanistan. The British tried twice to
take over Afghanistan in the 19th Century. They were
defeated both times but left a colonial legacy in
the Durand Line that divided Pastoonistan, between
India/Pakistan and Afghanistan. To this day, the
Pashtun people cross the border between the two countries
and regard themselves as Pashtuns first and Afghan
or Pakistani second.
The Taliban defeated the mujahideen groups
with the exception of the Northern Alliance who were
isolated in the remote north east area. They brought
order, but also repressive fundamentalist edicts
that nullified the modernizing tendencies of the
monarchy and communist regimes of the 1960's and
early 1970's.
Osama bin Laden went back to Saudi Arabia after
the Soviet withdrawal and resumed his family and
business life. When Saddam Hussein invaded Kuwait,
he offered his and his "Afghans'" services in driving
Saddam out of Kuwait. He was rebuffed because the
Saudi monarchy feared his popularity.
When the first Gulf War ended, the United States
built permanent bases in Saudi Arabia breaking
Defense Secretary Dick Cheney's promise that U.S.
forces would not stay "a minute longer than they were needed." Osama
agitated to have U.S. military bases closed and U.S.
troops removed. His citizenship was revoked and he
left for Sudan. He brought back his "Afghan" fighters
from all over the Islamic world and al-Qaida was
born.
U.S. pressure on Sudan forced him to move his fighters
and training camp back to Afghanistan, where the
CIA had supplied and supported him in the war against
the Soviet occupier. Blowback has come full circle
in that the United States has pulled its forces out
of Saudi Arabia and bin Laden's goal has been accomplished.
Twenty eight years after U.S. covert action lured
the Soviet Union into invading, war in Afghanistan
continues on its deadly course. History repeated
itself when the United States pulled its Special
Forces out in the spring of 2002, months after the
9-11-inspired retaliatory invasion, to prepare for
the attack on Iraq. Order had not been established.
The warlords have taken back power and revived heroin
production eliminated by the Taliban and it is now
higher than ever at 85 percent of world supply.
Osama bin Laden is still on the loose, Afghanistan
is a basket case, NATO member countries who have
taken over security responsibility are disenchanted.
The Taliban are regrouping and adapting to Iraq
style guerrilla warfare. The "Long War" is fulfilling
its promise.
Jim Mullins is a senior fellow at the Center for
International Policy in Washington, D.C., and a resident
of Delray Beach.
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