"Why
we oppose the Andean Regional Initiative," by the Center for Internaional
Policy
1.
It’s still an overwhelmingly military plan.
Last
year’s $1.3 billion “Plan Colombia” supplemental gave $860 million to
Colombia for 2000 and 2001. Of that amount, 75 percent went to
Colombia’s military and police, with the remainder going to social and
economic programs. This was hardly a “balanced package.”
This
year’s plan looks more benign. The 2002 Foreign Operations request includes
six other countries in the Andean region,
and is now being called the “Andean Regional Initiative”
(ARI) instead of Plan Colombia. The
State Department is selling its $882 million ARI as a 50-50
balance between military and economic programs. The Colombia portion
is 63 percent military.
-
It
is important to remember, however, that not all counter-drug military
aid goes through the foreign operations appropriation. Much goes
through Pentagon funding channels – channels which were included in
last year’s “Plan Colombia” supplemental, but don’t appear in this
year’s request. Including DoD military aid shows that
this is not a balanced package.
-
Section
1004 of the 1991 National
Defense Authorization Act, as amended, allows the Defense Department
to provide counter-drug military and police assistance. While
the amount of “Section 1004” funding planned for 2002 is not available,
an average of 1999 and 2000 would lead to an additional $107.18
million in military aid to the region:
(Millions of dollars)
Bolivia
|
Brazil
|
Colombia
|
Ecuador
|
Panama
|
Peru
|
Venezuela
|
Total
|
4.88
|
0.92
|
79.82
(actual request, not an
estimate)
|
9.13
|
0.65
|
8.95
|
2.83
|
107.18
|
- Still
more Pentagon funding goes to Colombia through DoD’s “riverine program”
(Section 1033 of the 1998 National Defense Authorization Act.) An
average of 1999 and 2000 would indicate an additional $19.04 million
in military assistance for Colombia in 2002.
-
The
Foreign Assistance Act also gives the President the power to “draw
down” up to $75 million per year in defense articles for counter-drug
programs in other countries. Averaging 1999 and 2000 drawdowns would
indicate $33.23 million in additional military and police
aid in 2002.
(Millions of dollars)
Bolivia
|
Brazil
|
Colombia
|
Ecuador
|
Panama
|
Peru
|
Venezuela
|
Total
|
0
|
0
|
29
|
2
|
0.23
|
2
|
0
|
33.23
|
Adding
these estimates for non-foreign operations aid channels means that:
- The
2002 “Andean Regional Initiative” actually would equal $1.041
billion, 57 percent of it military and police aid.
- The
portion for Colombia rises to $526 million, 71 percent of
it military and police aid.
- Several
Andean countries will see large increases in military aid over
2000-2001 levels: Bolivia 20%; Brazil 345%; Ecuador 63%;
Panama 220%; Peru 82% and Venezuela 144%
|
Colombia,
2002
|
2.
Instead of reducing drug crops, it will only move them around.
Even if U.S. plans in Putumayo are totally
successful, there is no reason to believe that U.S. fumigations will
do more than merely move drug crops somewhere else. There is plenty
of room to move: Putumayo is the size of Maryland; the jungles east
and south of Colombia’s Andes are the size of California. Coca-growing
can also move across Colombia’s borders. All coca produced in South
America in 2000 could fit in a square area 26.7 miles on one side
(two-thirds the size of Rhode Island).
As
recently as the first half of the 1990s, not much coca was actually
grown in Colombia. Coca itself was grown in Bolivia and Peru.
This
began to change in the mid-1990s, after the breakup of large drug cartels,
interference with the “air bridge” between Peruvian and Bolivian coca
sites and Colombian processing sites, and some successful alternative
development programs. Though the net amount of coca cultivation in South
America changed little, Colombia became the center of coca-growing.
Colombian
coca was first centered around Guaviare department in south-central
Colombia. The United States set up a large-scale fumigation program
there in 1995 – but never offered affected peasants a cent of alternative-
development aid.
The
U.S. fumigations drastically reduced coca cultivations in Guaviare by
the late 1990s. But the total amount of coca in Colombia more than
doubled – and became centered in Putumayo department to the southwest,
out of the range of the spray planes and deeper into guerrilla territory.
Coca
cultivation in Colombia by department (hectares)
|
Department
|
1994
|
1995
|
1996
|
1997
|
1998
|
1999
|
Guaviare
|
26,300
|
28,700
|
38,600
|
29,000
|
7,000
|
8,200
|
Putumayo
|
5,000
|
6,600
|
7,000
|
19,000
|
30,100
|
56,800
|
Caquetá
|
11,700
|
15,600
|
21,600
|
31,500
|
24,000
|
6,800
|
Bolívar
|
2,000
|
|
|
|
3,500
|
6,500
|
N.
Santander
|
|
|
|
|
7,000
|
7,800
|
Other
|
|
|
|
|
6,600
|
17,400
|
Total
|
45,000
|
50,900
|
67,200
|
79,500
|
78,200
|
103,500
|
Nothing
in the current strategy guarantees that increased fumigation in Putumayo
won’t just move coca somewhere else. We’ve seen coca move from Bolivia and Peru to Guaviare
to Putumayo. Continuing the same strategy will simply cause coca to
pop up elsewhere.
This
is already happening. In March, immediately after the first fumigations
in Putumayo, the New York Times reported of new coca cultivation
in a department immediately to the west, Nariño, in an area the locals
are calling “Little Putumayo.” According to the Times, the spraying
in Putumayo “displaced coca growers and their crops, sending them to
the jungles here in Nariño Province. It is a familiar pattern.”
3. It could fail militarily – and an escalation could
come next.
The
strategy at the heart of the U.S. military package is centered on Colombia’s
department of Putumayo, along the border with Ecuador. Putumayo has
been dominated by Colombia’s FARC guerrillas for over twenty years,
and the FARC shoots back at drug-crop fumigation planes. The strategy
has set up three battalions in Colombia’s army, armed with dozens of
helicopters.
The
battalions’ mission, according to the U.S. Southern Command, is “setting
the security conditions that are mandatory for safe and productive execution
of eradication and other counterdrug operations” in Putumayo.
Putumayo
But
can “security conditions” be achieved by this plan? The strategy calls on 2,250 troops with a few months’
training to force Colombia’s FARC guerrillas out of one of its most
fiercely defended strongholds. Several battles in the past few years
have demonstrated the guerrillas’ ability to launch large-scale military
attacks in Putumayo. The Southern Command’s Gen. Charles Wilhelm told
a House committee in 2000, “We've received numerous reports that the
insurgents have surface-to-air missiles. We've heard everything from
U.S. Redeye missiles on up to SAM-16s from Eastern Europe.”
What
happens if our plans in Putumayo fail? What
will the next step be? It is not too far-fetched to imagine that the
debate over a 2003 aid package might take place after several pitched
battles that may involve losses in Putumayo. There is some likelihood
that we may be debating another escalation in our military involvement
a year from now. While Vietnam analogies are not quite adequate,
we must guard against “mission creep” and an uncomfortable level of
military involvement in a country fighting one of the world’s bloodiest
conflicts.
4. It relies too heavily on unaccountable private contractors.
As
they operate without any accountability or oversight, civilian
contractors in the Andes have been involved in some disturbing
incidents:
- April
2001:
a CIA contractor, Aviation Development Corporation, helps
the Peruvian Air Force target a planeload of missionaries
as a possible drug-smuggling flight. The contractors, who
speak little Spanish, are unable to call the Peruvians off
before they strafe the plane, killing two missionaries.
- February
2001: A Dyncorp
search-and-rescue team of 4 U.S. citizens and 2 Colombians
is involved in a firefight with FARC guerrillas in heavily
guerrilla-controlled Caquetá department.
- February
2001: The Pentagon
does not renew a one-year, $4.3 million contract with Military
Personnel Resources International (MPRI) to perform a bottom-up
review of Colombia’s military. Colombian officials criticized
MPRI's work as irrelevant and not tailored for Colombia's
needs. Worse, MPRI staffed its Bogota office with people who
spoke no Spanish and had little or no experience in Latin
America.
- 1997-1998:
Three Dyncorp spray-plane pilots die in crashes in guerrilla-controlled
territory. The first is ruled an accident; the other two die
in crashes with unknown causes.
|
At
least six private U.S. corporations on State Department and Pentagon
contracts and sub-contracts operate in Colombia. They perform services
that include flying drug-crop fumigation aircraft, ferrying battalions
into combat, serving as mechanics and logistics personnel, performing
bottom-up reviews of the armed forces, and gathering aerial intelligence.
The
contractors operate with very little transparency or oversight, raising
several important questions:
-
Are
we wasting money? Expensive failures like MPRI aside (see box at right),
the contractors are performing services while taking in a hefty profit.
Shouldn’t we be paying U.S. personnel to perform these services without
adding funds for corporate profit margins?
-
Are
the contractors able to do their jobs? We keep hearing reports about
contractors in the Andes who don’t even speak Spanish. Who is guaranteeing
the quality of the people being hired to carry out U.S. policy? Wouldn’t
U.S. personnel be more qualified?
-
Are
the contractors taking on dangerous missions? Are they taking on roles
considered too dangerous for U.S. personnel? Could it be that a dead
contractor is less controversial for the overall policy than a dead
U.S. serviceperson?
- “Unlike
U.S. military trainers in Colombia,” the Miami Herald reported
in February, contractors “are not covered by orders to avoid combat.”
How close are contractors getting to Colombia’s shooting war? Are they
likely to be involved in human rights abuses?
We can’t even answer these questions because of the lack of transparency
and accountability in which the contractors operate. Because these risks
are so plausible and real, it is absolutely crucial that existing limits
on contractors be maintained.
5. It could bring increased human rights violations.
The
United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights and other human rights
groups have documented very close ties between the Colombian military
and paramilitary groups in Colombia’s Putumayo department, the zone
where most U.S. military aid is being spent. Nothing is being done to
break those ties. Will U.S. assistance inadvertently help the paramilitaries?
Paramilitaries
have been on a rampage in Putumayo. Since they first appeared in the
zone, the United Self-Defense Groups of Colombia have killed hundreds
and displaced thousands. Their collaboration with military units in
the area is disturbingly common. In October 2000, a bold police officer
denounced military-paramilitary cooperation in Puerto Asís to local
civilian authorities. According to the Bogotá daily El Tiempo, the policeman
reported that the paramilitaries blatantly identify themselves with
insignia and move easily in clearly marked vehicles. The policeman said
he did not understand "the abilities and skills that they use to
make a mockery of the Army's roadblocks, and to station themselves right
in front of them." He added that he has heard numerous charges
that the local army command meets regularly with paramilitary leaders.
In
August 2000, a BBC reporter showed how easily and openly the paramilitaries
operate in Putumayo:
I
was looking to contact the paramilitaries who control the town [of Puerto
Asis, Putumayo] and some of the neighbouring hamlets. … Finding them
was not as hard as I had thought. Despite the fact that the Colombian
state denies there are any links between them and the right-wing death
squads, their headquarters in Puerto Asis is five minutes drive past
the local army base, in a luxurious villa. To get there I just hailed
a taxi and asked the driver to take me to the paramilitary headquarters,
as if I knew where it was and something I did every day of the week.
He did not even blink, simply put the car in gear and sped down the
potholed streets, passing the army checkpoint and into the countryside
outside the town.
The
United States is pumping arms, helicopters, and well-trained military
units into this zone of close military-paramilitary cooperation. It
is not unreasonable to expect increased human rights violations to result.
There is a danger that U.S.-provided intelligence, equipment and
perhaps even weapons could find its way to the paramilitaries. This
appears to have happened already with some U.S. aid in Putumayo, as
the Boston Globe reported in March.
On
a recent day, one gunman, dressed in plain clothes and standing guard
in a village, picked through a pack of US Army C-rations, hunting for
chewing gum and pound cake. He shrugged off questions about where he
got the supplies, issued to the three Colombian Army antidrug units
that have been trained by US Special Forces advisers.
6. Our European allies do not support the policy.
Except
for Spain, not one of our European allies has endorsed Plan Colombia.
Most see it as a big mistake, and many have expressed disappointment
that they had no chance to take part in designing it.
The
European Parliament declared in February that “Plan Colombia contains
aspects that run counter to the cooperation strategies and projects
to which the EU has already committed itself and jeopardize its cooperation
programs.”
The
U.S. and Colombian governments had hoped that non-U.S. donor countries
would contribute $2 billion to Plan Colombia. After several donors’
conferences, however, Europe has pledged only $350 million in assistance,
which they insist is support for Colombia’s peace process and not for
Plan Colombia. (They also point out that the $350 million contribution
is about equal to the United States’ pledges of social and economic
aid in 2000-2002.)
“We
are preparing a European Program of aid to the Peace Process in Colombia,
which is totally different from Plan Colombia.” – Renaud Vignal, European
Union, October 2000
Donor
|
|
Millions of dollars
|
Donations
specifically for Plan Colombia: $1.8 billion
|
United States
|
Law, July 2000
|
860
|
United States
|
Previously-planned aid, 2000-2001
|
330
|
United
States
|
Andean Initiative, Colombia portion
|
508
|
Spain
|
Madrid donors’ conference, July 2000
|
100
|
Donations
to the peace process and specifically not for Plan Colombia:
$721 million
|
United Nations
|
Madrid conference, July 2000
|
131
|
Norway
|
Madrid conference, July 2000
|
20
|
Europe
|
Brussels conference, April 2001
|
355
|
Japan
|
Brussels conference, April 2001
|
175
|
Canada
|
Brussels conference, April 2001
|
40
|
What should we be doing instead?
-
Attack
drug demand at home. A
1995 Rand Corporation study found that a dollar spent on treatment
of addicts at home is as effective as 23 dollars spent on overseas
eradication and interdiction. Yet while funding for treatment rose
41 percent during the Clinton administration, funding for overseas
interdiction rose 175 percent. Treatment programs remain so underfunded
that addicts in most U.S. cities who want to get off drugs must
first add their names to waiting lists.
- Increase
alternative development – and listen to the residents of coca-growing
zones. Eradication programs
without alternative development have proven to be a recipe for failure.
Yet so far this year, the United States has been in a rush to get the
fumigation program going, but moving very slowly toward getting economic
programs in place.
The economic desperation and government neglect of rural Colombia are
key reasons Colombian peasants choose to grow drug crops. Most would
like to stop growing these crops, which have brought only violence,
but have no other economic option in the remote areas where they are
forced to live. Alternative development programs must be more than just
crop-substitution efforts. The United States should listen well to the
governors, mayors, indigenous and peasant leaders in the affected areas,
almost all of whom insist that eradication and alternative development
should be manual, gradual, and negotiated with communities. Alternative
development should also include infrastructure-building, access to credit,
and help with marketing legal alternatives.
- More funding to strengthen civilian institutions. Military aid should not be large arms transfers. In
fact, it shouldn’t be a large part of our aid to Colombia. The institutions
that are weakest and need the most aid are Colombia’s civilian government
institutions: the courts, the health and education systems, the legislature,
development agencies, and many others. Any military aid to the region
should come with strict human rights conditions – with no waiver provisions.
- Support Colombia’s peace process. The United States must recognize that Colombia’s ongoing peace process
is going to be a multi-year process. Instead of launching criticisms,
the United States must do everything possible to facilitate the talks.
This includes cooperating with every invitation from the Colombian government
to participate in the process – even if this requires contact with guerrilla
representatives.
- Urge Colombia to contribute more. It is far from certain that Colombia will even come close to the $4 billion
that it has committed toward Plan Colombia. There are key reasons to
doubt the commitment of Colombia’s ruling elite either to fighting drugs
or fighting rebels. First, corruption is widespread, earning Colombia
a ranking of 50 out of 91 on Transparency International’s ranking of
the world’s least corrupt countries. Second, Colombian law excludes
anyone with a high-school education from serving in combat, guaranteeing
that Colombia’s war is fought only by the poor. Third, Colombia has
one of the world’s lowest rates of tax collection – 10.1 percent of
GDP in 1998. This compares unfavorably not only with the United States
(20.4%) and Europe (mostly over 35%), but also with Latin American neighbors
like Brazil (19%), Chile (18.4%), Ecuador (17.8%), Bolivia (15.1%) and
Peru (13.7%).
- Economic
and social programs need not wait for “security conditions.” One of the best ways a country can gain territorial
control is through social and economic aid projects. Successful pilot
projects can have an enormous demonstration effect, building confidence
in government in areas where it had never existed. Security conditions
are built by strengthening all parts of government, not just
the military and police.
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