Mixed Intelligence
on Panetta Pick
By Tim Starks
CQ Weekly
January 12, 2009
Barack Obama experienced his first
sustained dose of Washington second-guessing last
week when news leaked that Leon E. Panetta was his
pick to head the CIA.
Some agency veterans complained that the nomination
of a director without any intelligence background
was another blow to the stature of the CIA, which
has come off a string of high-profile controversies
and the largely failed tenure of Porter J. Goss,
the would-be reformer who directed the spy agency
from 2004 to 2006.
Senior Democrats on the Senate Select Intelligence
Committee also aired their displeasure with Panetta’s
outsider status and complained about Obama’s
failure to notify them of the Panetta pick in advance.
But the Senate Select Intelligence Committee’s
incoming chairwoman, California Democrat Dianne
Feinstein, came out in favor of the pick after Obama
assured her that Panetta would surround himself
with agency veterans.
Still, as the dust from the Panetta pick settled
a bit, the Obama team was left with the dilemmas
that many past administrations have faced in trying
to introduce change at the CIA. Would Panetta —
known for his managerial skills as both White House
chief of staff and director of the Office of Management
and Budget (OMB) during the Clinton administration
— command the respect of deputies and station
chiefs who would have preferred an intelligence
insider at the agency’s helm? And could he
leverage his political skills into an effective
bid to overhaul some of the CIA’s more controversial
practices, such as extraordinary rendition of terrorist
suspects abroad and enhanced interrogation techniques
that some critics — Panetta among them —
denounce as torture?
One thing appears certain — Panetta was tapped
as a change candidate, even if he wasn’t Obama’s
first choice. That honor went to the campaign’s
intelligence adviser, John Brennan, a former assistant
to the agency’s deputy director, who boasted
a long intelligence resume but came under fire from
left-wing critics for his past association with
Bush administration interrogation and surveillance
policies. As the pushback against Brennan gained
momentum, he bowed out of the running after “some
prompting from the transition folks,” according
to a former senior intelligence official familiar
with the decision. Obama later named Brennan as
his top homeland security and counterterrorism adviser.
By contrast, Panetta has denounced the use of torture
“under any circumstances.”
Outsider Foibles and Fortes
Panetta’s backers point out that he is no
stranger to the processing of intelligence at the
executive level. As both OMB director and Bill Clinton’s
chief of staff, he read most of the intelligence
presented to the president. But critics counter
that, as a longtime Democratic Party loyalist, Panetta
runs the risk of politicizing the agency’s
work.
An aide to West Virginia Democrat John D. Rockefeller
IV said the outgoing chairman of the Senate Select
Intelligence Committee believes “this has
always been a position that should be outside of
the political realm.”
But historians of the CIA contend that directors
coming from outside the intelligence world have
not performed any worse than their more experienced
counterparts. “We’ve had outsiders who
have done well and outsiders who have done poorly,”
said John Diamond, author of “The CIA and
the Culture of Failure.” “It’s
hard to make a generalization here.”
For example, agency scholars credit John A. McCone,
a former industrialist and head of the Atomic Energy
Commission who led the CIA during the Kennedy and
Johnson administrations, with recognizing early
on the threat posed by the placement of Soviet missiles
in Cuba. Then there was Jimmy Carter’s CIA
chief, former Adm. Stansfield Turner, who reined
in many CIA programs in the aftermath of the Watergate
scandal and who de-emphasized human intelligence
in favor of signal surveillance. Today, Turner is
widely regarded as a poor spy master who worried
more about political correctness than raw information-gathering,
Diamond said.
Other agency observers note that an extensive intelligence
background is no guarantee against the politicization
of the CIA’s intelligence work. William J.
Casey worked in the CIA’s precursor agency,
the Office of Strategic Services, during World War
II, but when he took over the agency in 1981 under
the Reagan administration, he quickly became a consummate
White House insider.
“He was the most ideological intelligence
director we’ve had by far, as far as political
passions and slant are concerned,” said Paul
Pillar, a CIA veteran who retired from intelligence
work after 28 years of service in 2005. “That’s
what you want to avoid.”
Panetta’s outsider status can work to his
advantage, intelligence experts say, especially
if he can rely upon the counsel of seasoned deputies.
They add that Panetta is also in a better position
than an insider to reclaim the public support that
the agency lost after it inflated the threat of
weapons of mass destruction in the run-up to the
2003 Iraq invasion.
“What his strength will be is he brings an
outsider’s perspective to the intelligence
community,” said Lee H. Hamilton, a former
chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee
who worked with Panetta on the Iraq Study Group.
“The intelligence community is not perceived
well in the general public.”
The Inside Line
Opinion about the Panetta pick is divided within
CIA ranks. John McLaughlin, a former interim CIA
director, says it is not surprising that some agency
personnel prefer one of their own in the director’s
seat. But in an e-mail, McLaughlin added that critics
who make an issue of Panetta’s outsider status
“have not worked inside the agency and have
little understanding of its culture.” People
at the CIA would rather have an effective director,
regardless of his or her background, he noted.
Agency veterans say Panetta’s opponents tend
to cluster in the CIA’s clandestine service,
which collects intelligence.
Charles “Sam” Faddis, a 20-year covert
operator who retired from the CIA in May, said the
rank and file’s response to the choice of
Panetta has been “overwhelmingly negative.”
“These are people who are sweating blood every
day to make things happen and living for the day
that somebody is going to come in, institute real
reform and turn the CIA into the vital, effective
organization it should be,” Faddis said. “To
them, this choice just says that no such changes
are pending and that all they can look forward to
is business as usual.”
At the same time, those in the directorate of intelligence,
the CIA’s analytical branch, are generally
more open to Panetta’s nomination.
Melvin Goodman, a former agency analyst who supports
the Panetta pick and campaigned in Op-Ed commentaries
against Brennan, said the analytical corps shares
a liberal academic mind-set, while the clandestine
service has a more conservative outlook.
Potentially complicating this schism, observers
suggest, will be pressure from some lawmakers on
Panetta to investigate intelligence abuses during
the Bush years.
“Will there also be a very critical investigative
look back, a sort of housecleaning?” Diamond
asked. “If that is what develops, there could
be a real problem with the rank and file at the
agency. If the administration doesn’t do that,
there will be pressure from the base of Obama’s
constituency that says, ‘We just can’t
let this go.’ ”
Meanwhile, some regard Panetta as the one to reverse
the agency’s diminished power profile since
2004, when the newly created Office of the Director
of National Intelligence (DNI) took over the CIA’s
traditional role as lead agency for the intelligence
community.
Sources familiar with the Obama team’s view
of intelligence matters say that the incoming administration
is interested in reducing the role of the DNI. And
some CIA veterans believe that with Panetta at the
helm of the CIA and retired Adm. Dennis Blair serving
as the director of national intelligence, such a
readjustment is inevitable. Blair, who has a background
in military intelligence, appears likely to be cast
as the intelligence professional to Panetta’s
savvy bureaucrat. Pillar said he would have expected
their roles to be reversed.
Panetta would be well-suited to win greater influence
for the CIA, observers say. “I don’t
think a guy like Blair is in the same league as
a guy like Panetta,” Goodman said. “He’s
a pretty sophisticated political operative.”
But McLaughlin cautions that political savvy will
count for less than will Panetta’s ability
to advocate for reviving an agency whose luster
has dimmed considerably during the Bush years.
Panetta’s reputation among CIA insiders will
hinge on “whether he shows an ability to advance
the agency’s mission and represent it effectively
in various arenas,” he said. “They will
want him to succeed and will help him do so; they
have been through failed directors and know that
it’s bad for everyone.”
Jeff Stein contributed to this story.
For Further Reading: Intelligence reshuffle, 2008
CQ Weekly, p. 1166; CIA subcontracting problem,
2007 CQ Weekly, p. 3396; investigation of Iraq-Niger
story, p. 1330.
Source: CQ Weekly
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