CIP
International Policy Report: The Corruption of Intelligence
in the Leadup to the Invasion of Iraq, June 2006
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THE
CORRUPTION OF INTELLIGENCE IN THE LEADUP TO THE
INVASION OF IRAQ
By
Melvin Goodman
The
greatest possible failure of the CIA or any intelligence
agency is to misuse intelligence in order to take
the country to war. Intelligence was manipulated prior
to the Mexican-American War, the Spanish-American
War, and the Vietnam War. None of these examples,
however, compares with the comprehensive corruption
of intelligence to make the case for war against Iraq.
The Bush administration even created the White House
Iraq Group (WHIG) in August 2002 to manipulate intelligence
in order to persuade the public of the need for war.
The group met regularly in the White House Situation
Room, where it produced such rhetoric as the “smoking
gun should not be a mushroom cloud,” a favorite
phrase of Vice President Dick Cheney and Secretary
of Defense Donald Rumsfeld.1
Although the Bush administration was
going to war regardless of the intelligence evidence,
it is a fact that every aspect of the intelligence
record pertaining to this matter was politicized at
the CIA:
Niger and the Intelligence Fabrication.
The allegation that Iraq was trying to purchase
nuclear materials from Niger was the key to the administration’s
case for war. The CIA always had doubts about the
authenticity of the Niger reporting but, when the
item appeared in a DIA intelligence highlight on February
13, 2002, Vice President Cheney began to hammer the
CIA about its views on Iraq’s search for enriched
uranium to assist in its nuclear weapons program.
In response to constant importuning from Cheney and
Lewis Libby, the CIA asked Ambassador Joe Wilson to
visit Niger. During the same period that Wilson traveled
to Niger and reported back to the CIA, Marine Corps
General Carleton Fulford and Ambassador Barbro Owens-Kirkpatrick
conducted their own investigations and reported back
to the Joint Chiefs of Staff and the State Department,
respectively. All three reported emphatically that
there was no substance to the intelligence reporting
that Iraq was trying to buy uranium yellowcake from
Niger.
Nevertheless,
in October 2002, the National Intelligence Council
produced a national intelligence estimate (NIE) on
Iraqi weapons of mass destruction that concluded that
Iraq was “shifting from domestic mining and
milling of uranium to foreign acquisition.”
The estimate ignored the consensus within the intelligence
community that considered the clandestine reporting
on a Niger deal a fabrication produced by members
of the Italian military intelligence service. In an
effort to compromise the results of the Wilson visit
to Niger, Vice President Cheney instructed Scooter
Libby to leak the specious language of the intelligence
estimate to Judith Miller of the New York Times.
Libby has been indicted for allegedly lying to the
FBI and a grand jury about his role in outing the
identity of Valerie Plame as a CIA operative, which
was another part of the campaign to undermine Ambassador
Wilson’s public criticism of the Bush administration’s
case for the Iraq War.2
In December 2002, the NSC and the
CIA negotiated language on the Niger uranium deal
for the president’s State of the Union address.
A senior CIA official, Alan Foley, convinced the NSC’s
Robert Joseph that the Niger story could not be linked
to CIA intelligence. But Foley agreed to the infamous
sixteen words in the State of the Union address: “The
British government has learned that Saddam Hussein
recently sought significant quantities of uranium
from Africa,” a claim that was also false.
“Curveball’s”
Phony Intelligence on Mobile Biological Labs.
Similar slight-of-hand was played with intelligence
on mobile biological laboratories. The sole source
of the mobile labs was an agent codenamed “Curveball”
who was handled by the German intelligence service
and never given an asset validation from the CIA,
which is customary in sensitive clandestine matters.
The Germans had warned the CIA early in the process
that they could not vouch for “Curveball’s”
bonafides; some Germans warned that he was an alcoholic,
others that he was a dissembler. The fact that he
was trading information, in this case disinformation,
for possible German citizenship seemed obvious to
many members of the German intelligence service and
even to several CIA officers, including the chief
of the directorate of operation’s European division,
Tyler Drumheller. German intelligence told Drumheller
that “Curveball” was crazy and that it
would be a waste of time for the CIA to debrief him.3
Senior members of the German Federal Intelligence
Service (BND) warned the United States that “Curveball”
never claimed to produce germ weapons and never saw
anyone else do so. “We were shocked,”
the official said. “Mein Gott!! We had always
told them it was not proven…it was not hard
intelligence.”4
Drumheller and another CIA officer
passed this information to CIA deputy director John
McLaughlin, but the 2002 estimate embraced “Curveball’s”
information and Secretary of State Powell’s
speech to the UN Security Council in February 2003
shamelessly exaggerated it. Powell was reportedly
furious when he learned in the summer of 2003 of CIA
officers’ doubts about the information, which
never reached him during his several days of intelligence
exchanges spent at the CIA drafting the speech. But
when Drumheller took his doubts to policymakers, he
was told that the “war was not about intelligence,
it was about regime change.”
Fifty days after the fall of Baghdad,
on May 29, 2003, President Bush emphatically proclaimed
that the United States “has found the weapons
of mass destruction,” which turned out to be
the mobile biological labs.5 This purported justification
for the invasion of Iraq was repeated by every prominent
member of the Bush administration over the next nine
months. The CIA and the DIA went so far as to jointly
sponsor and publish a White Paper in May 2003 that
described the labs as the “strongest evidence
to date that Iraq was hiding a biological warfare
program.” It emphatically refuted an explanation
by Iraqi officials that appeared in the New York
Times that referred to the trailers as mobile
units for producing hydrogen.6 Two days before the
president’s remarks, however, the Pentagon received
a three-page field report from a team of U.S. and
British experts in Iraq who examined the trailers,
one of whom referred to them as “the biggest
sand toilets in the world.”7 Thus at the highest
levels of the Pentagon, the CIA, and the DIA, it was
authoritatively known that there were no mobile biological
labs before the president, the vice president,
the secretary of state, and the secretary of defense
heralded the so-called find as justification for the
invasion.
No Links between Iraq and al Qaeda.
The intelligence community initially tried to convince
policymakers that there were no significant ties between
Iraq and al Qaeda, but some senior members of the
Bush administration, particularly the president and
the vice president, argued that Iraq was behind the
terrorism of al Qaeda in an effort to manipulate congressional
and public opinion. President Bush said on September
25, 2002 that “You can’t distinguish between
al Qaeda and Saddam when you talk about the war on
terror” and, at a press conference in December
2005, he repeated this observation.8 Secretary of
Defense Rumsfeld claimed on September 27, 2002 that
he had “bulletproof” evidence of ties
between Saddam and al Qaeda, and Secretary of State
Powell described a “potentially…sinister
nexus between Iraq and al Qaeda, a nexus that combines
classic terrorist organizations and modern methods
of murder.”9 The most explicit statement of
contacts between Iraq and al Qaeda came from Vice
President Cheney, who argued that one of the hijackers,
Mohammed Atta, met with a senior official of the Iraqi
intelligence service in Czechoslovakia in April, several
months before the 9/11 attack.10 The Czech intelligence
service denied such a meeting ever took place and
the intelligence community had authoritative information
based on telephone intercepts that Atta was actually
in the United States during the month of April.
In
actual fact, the information that Iraqis had trained
al Qaeda members to make bombs with deadly gases came
from a top al Qaeda operative, al-Shaykh al-Libi,
who was tortured in Pakistan and recanted his claims
in 2004. As a result, the CIA recalled all intelligence
reports based on his statements, nearly two years
after the Defense Intelligence Agency informed policymakers
that al-Libi had lied.11 But when the White House
wanted more support for the argument regarding Iraqi-al
Qaeda links, CIA director Tenet obliged with a letter
to the Senate and House intelligence committees falsely
asserting evidence of such links, and CIA analysts
wrote the section in Secretary of State Powell’s
speech to the United Nations Security Council (UNSC)
describing the links.
A CLASSIC CASE
OF POLITICIZATION
Prior to the State of the Union message,
CIA Director George Tenet and Deputy Director John
McLaughlin briefed the president on “the case”
for war based on the CIA’s intelligence on WMD.
President Bush found the presentation inadequate,
particularly because he found that it wasn’t
“something that Joe Public would understand
or gain a lot of confidence from.”12 Bush turned
to Tenet and remarked “I’ve been told
all this intelligence about having WMD and this is
the best we’ve got?” The CIA director
jumped up from his wing-backed chair in the Oval Office
and gave the president the answer the administration
desperately wanted, “Don’t worry, it’s
a slam dunk!” In fact, there turned out to be
enough misinformation for two slam dunks: the president’s
State of the Union in January and the secretary of
state’s address to the United Nations in February
2003.
Although the intelligence community
played only a minor role in the planning for war,
the failures of intelligence were stunning and comprehensive
and point to major problems within the community,
particularly within the CIA. There was no understanding
of the intentions and motivations of Saddam Hussein;
of the decrepit state of Iraq’s political, economic,
and military situation; and the fact that there were
no weapons of mass destruction and no programs for
reconstituting the capabilities that existed before
Desert Storm in 1991. And it can now be stated definitively
that the CIA was egregiously wrong on every aspect
of Iraqi weapons of mass destruction—nuclear,
biological, and chemical. Every aspect of the CIA’s
findings on the so-called huge stocks of biological
and chemical weapons was incorrect, and their conclusions
about the so-called nuclear program were created for
the most part out of whole cloth and, in some prominent
cases, fabricated. Nevertheless, the CIA continues
to display no interest in understanding the analytical
failures that took place. Neither a post-mortem
nor an accounting of lessons learned has been produced
to suggest that the CIA has refined its processes
for the collection and analysis of intelligence.
The Phony National Intelligence Estimate and the
Phony White Paper. It is instructive to examine
the NIE titled “Iraq’s Continuing Programs
for Weapons of Mass Destruction” (October 2002)
and the unclassified “White Paper” because
of the specious nature of their assumptions and conclusions.
Every one of these assessments’ claims was false,
including charges on stockpiles of chemical and biological
weapons; reconstitution of nuclear weapons; and the
capabilities of unmanned aerial vehicles. The estimate
was the most egregious example of intelligence politicization
in the history of the CIA. The fact is that Iraq did
not have any of the weapons that the CIA claimed it
had and had no production programs for making such
weapons. The declassified estimate, moreover, the
so-called White Paper, was even more egregious, serving
as an example of policy advocacy to support a decision
to go to war. This violates the CIA’s charter
that prohibits propagandizing political matters for
the American public.
The estimate concluded that Iraq had
“stocked at least 100 metric tons and as much
as 500 metric tons of chemical warfare agents—much
of it added in the last year,” and even
speculated on clandestine attacks against the United
States with chemical or biological weapons. The estimate
considered all key aspects of Iraq’s biological
weapons program to be active and that “most
elements are larger and more advanced than they were
before the Gulf War.” Actually, the United Nations
Special Commission (UNSCOM) and International Atomic
Energy Agency (IAEA) inspectors regularly investigated
many of these facilities and recorded correctly that
there were no active biological weapons programs at
sites such as the Fallujah III plant and other locations.
The estimate also contained worst-case language about
a non-existent anthrax program, and the White Paper
gratuitously added language about a potential threat
to the U.S. homeland. As former director of IAEA,
Hans Blix, concluded, “Never before has a nation
had 100 percent confidence about its intelligence
with 0 percent information.”
As
former director of IAEA, Hans Blix, concluded,
"Never before has a nation had 100 percent
confidence about its intelligence with 0 percent
information." |
The unclassified White Paper omitted
much of the more balanced language in the classified
version. The classified version estimated that Iraq
would not obtain nuclear weapons until 2009, but the
White Paper drops the dates and suggests the imminent
possibility of Iraq going nuclear. The estimate and
the White Paper linked a great deal of construction
at Iraqi military sites to chemical and biological
weapons, but neither the UN nor IAEA inspectors believed
that such linkage was credible. The classified estimate
contends that “Saddam probably does not yet
have nuclear weapons or sufficient material to make
them,” but the White Paper drops the word “probably.”13
Both the classified and unclassified versions develop
scenarios for Iraq acquiring nuclear weapons within
twelve months, although UN and IAEA inspectors found
no facilities that were even capable of building a
nuclear weapon or enriching uranium to weapons grade.
The White Paper also obfuscates the
importance of dissent in the classified estimate and
downplays the expertise of the dissenters. For example,
the CIA links Iraq’s attempts to obtain aluminum
tubes to a centrifuge enrichment program and notes
that there are “some intelligence specialists”
who link the tubes to conventional weapons. It should
have been noted that the “some” in this
case referred to the opposition of the Department
of Energy, which houses the most serious expertise
on centrifuge technology. The several analysts at
the CIA with their modest engineering credentials
were certainly no match for the Ph.D. scientists at
the Department of Energy. The White House and CIA
handling of the aluminum tubes issue points to a campaign
orchestrated by both institutions to make the case
for going to war. The fact that Saddam Hussein made
no attempt to hide purchases of these tubes also argues
against their use in a nuclear weapons program.
The post-war inspections of the Iraqi
Survey Group, which was operated by the CIA, found
no evidence of any chemical or biological weapons
programs and no stockpiles of the weapons themselves.
One of the most ludicrous aspects of the estimate
concerned a so-called capability for Iraq’s
unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) to threaten the United
States itself with chemical and biological warfare
agents “if brought close to, or into, the U.S.
homeland.” It is difficult to imagine a scenario
that has Iraq covertly bringing UAVs into the United
States; the U.S. Air Force took an unusual dissent,
which the White Paper did not even bother to repeat.
The unclassified version of the estimate
had two purposes: to create the impression that the
intelligence community was of one mind and united
on the threat of WMD from Iraq, and to support the
Bush administration’s strong view that Iraq
WMD represented a threat to the U.S. homeland.14
This effort on the part of the CIA was immoral, illegal,
and unconscionable, involving the deletion of all
examples of uncertainty in the classified document
and the addition of worst-case views in order to create
the impression of a gathering threat.
The CIA repressed numerous reports
that noted the absence of Iraqi WMD, including the
authoritative reports of Saddam Hussein’s son-in-law,
General Hussein Kamal, who defected to Jordan, briefed
UN inspectors, Jordanian intelligence, and the CIA,
returned to Iraq, and was summarily executed. Kamal
told the debriefers in 1995 that Iraq’s strategic
program was larger than the CIA estimated before the
1991 Desert Storm war, but that it no longer existed.
Kamal had first-hand knowledge that “chemical
weapons were destroyed;” after all, it was Kamal
who ordered the destruction of the chemical stocks.
The same was true for biological weapons, and “in
the nuclear area, there were no weapons.”15
Kamal also told UN officials in 1995
that Iraq had two SCUD launchers and one of them was
disassembled, but the CIA estimate and White Paper
recorded dozens in the Iraqi inventory.16
Several months before the estimate and White Paper
appeared, the CIA told Congress that it did not know
how many missile launchers Iraq had or how many warheads
there might be to put on top of the rockets. Similarly,
the CIA repressed the clandestine reporting of Iraqi
Foreign Minister Sabri who corroborated the evidence
of Iraqi destruction of their WMD programs.
In fact, the CIA sponsored its own
intelligence collection that corroborated all of Kamal’s
information on Iraqi WMD. The agency’s assistant
director for intelligence collection, Charles Allen,
commissioned an unusual program that involved Iraqi-Americans
in the United States. Allen’s ingenious scheme
sent about thirty of these individuals to Iraq to
gather information from close relatives who were scientists
with access to information on strategic programs.
As late as September 2002, Sawsan Alhaddad, a doctor
living in Cleveland, reported to the CIA on her conversations
with her Iraqi brother, an electrical engineer who
worked in the Iraqi nuclear program. The engineer
contended that the nuclear program had been shut down
for years, which corroborated information from other
Iraqi scientists and engineers that had been gathered
right up to the start of the war in March 2003. Nothing
from these reports appeared in the national intelligence
estimate or the president’s daily brief.17
Post-Script
A senior CIA analyst, Paul Pillar,
has written an authoritative account of the Bush administration’s
misuse of the intelligence it received in order to
“justify decisions already made,” but
he falsely argues that the agency did not compromise
any of its own assessments or estimates in the process.18
It is true that intelligence had nothing to do with
the decision to go to war, which was decided upon
early in the first term of the Bush presidency, no
later than in the immediate aftermath of the 9/11
attacks. The senior members of the Bush administration
paid little attention to the intelligence assessments
on Iraq and requested no specific intelligence on
Iraq other than summaries of non-existent weapons
of mass destruction and non-existent ties between
Iraq and al Qaeda. Unlike the Johnson administration
and the use of force in Vietnam, the Bush administration
did not request CIA memoranda as a check on the intelligence
provided by the Pentagon. Bush and the senior members
of the administration cherry-picked the intelligence
they wanted, whether it was bogus intelligence on
Niger’s uranium stocks or unsubstantiated intelligence
on Saddam Hussein’s links to Osama bin Laden.
The infamous national intelligence estimate of October
2002 was not requested by the Bush administration,
which was aware of the differences within the community
on key aspects of the Iraqi problem, but by the Senate
intelligence committee. Bush and Cheney had fixed
opinions about Iraq, and sensitive intelligence information
would not change their thinking.
Although the Senate intelligence committee’s
report did not accuse the administration of politicizing
the intelligence, the CIA ombudsman told the committee
that the administration’s “hammering”
on Iraq intelligence was harder than he had seen in
his 32 years at the CIA. A former deputy director
of central intelligence, Richard Kerr, remarked that
there was “significant pressure on the intelligence
community to find evidence that supported a connection”
between Iraq and al Qaeda.19 Kerr headed
a group of former senior intelligence officers that
prepared three reports on the intelligence community’s
performance in the run-up to the Iraq war that cited
“intense policymaker demands in the run-up to
the war,” which some in the community believed
“constituted inappropriate pressure on intelligence
analysts.”20 Most of the hammering
on Saddam Hussein’s so-called efforts to purchase
“yellowcake” uranium from Niger came from
the vice president and, as a result, the fabricated
report ended up in the 2002 national intelligence
estimate, even though the U.S. intelligence community
had disavowed it. There is typically political pressure
on the CIA, particularly when policies fail, and it
is up to CIA leadership to make sure analysts tell
“truth to power.”
But there was little “truth”
in CIA finished intelligence on Iraq. Iraq’s
entire nuclear program, including facilities and infrastructure,
had been destroyed. The weapons design facility and
all production equipment had been destroyed, and the
use of gamma detection equipment would monitor any
resumption of an effort to enrich uranium or plutonium.
There could not be as much certainty about the chemical
and biological weapons programs because of the more
difficult verification and monitoring environment.
Nevertheless, in this area as well, the destruction
of the Muthanna State establishment meant there was
no capability to fabricate new agents. In a formal
acknowledgement of the obvious, the CIA eventually
issued a classified report (“Iraq: No Large-Scale
Chemical Warfare Efforts Since Early 1990s”)
revising its prewar assessment on Iraq and concluding
that Baghdad abandoned its chemical weapons programs
in 1991.21 High-level Iraqi sources had
reported that chemical and biological weapons programs
had ended, but these reports never appeared in CIA
finished intelligence.
IMPLICATIONS
The politicization of intelligence
creates serious consequences for the interests of
the United States.
—Any distortion of evidence
of Iraqi WMD makes it harder to gain international
cooperation in the war against terrorism and the campaign
to prevent the spread of WMD. These efforts require
international support. Information from foreign intelligence
services has been essential in the capture of all
al Qaeda terrorists thus far; any success in stopping
the strategic weapons programs of Iran and North Korea,
both more advanced than those of pre-war Iraq, will
require international help.
—Any misuse of intelligence
by the White House, such as the forged documents on
Niger, or politicization of intelligence by the CIA,
such as the national intelligence estimate of October
2002, weakens the key instrument in preventing further
terrorist acts and thus undermines U.S. national security
interests. The misuse of intelligence during the Vietnam
War prolonged a brutal and costly war. The manipulation
of intelligence during Iran-contra in the 1980s led
to political embarrassment for the Reagan administration.
The misuse of intelligence on the Soviet Union led
to unprecedented peacetime increases in defense spending
despite the decline and decay of the Soviet Union.
Any administration’s use of intelligence for
political ends is unacceptable, particularly to make
a specious case to go to war.
—Finally,
one of the worst possible scenarios for U.S. security
interests, and those of the international community,
would be learning that WMD materials had been looted
or smuggled from Iraqi weapons sites. As former White
House spokesman Ari Fleischer noted during the Iraq
war: “(WMD) is what this war was about and is
about. And we have high confidence that it will be
found.” We lost an opportunity to verify any
remnants of WMD in Iraq in the spring of 2003 when
the U.S. military occupation made no attempt to investigate
possible WMD sites, not even Tuwaitha, where Iraqis
previously stored supplies of enriched materials.
The only way to ensure that such sites were not looted
of old materials was to deploy inspectors who had
examined these sites in the 1990s.
It was unconscionable to report “Curveball’s”
information on biological weapons because the two
key factories for production of anthrax and botulinin
toxin were destroyed long before the Iraq war, and
there was no ability to reconstitute a biological
manufacturing base that was not monitored by Western
intelligence agencies. “Curveball,” the
only source for Iraqi mobile biological labs, was
the brother of a senior aide to Ahmad Chalabi, which
should have discredited him immediately. Also, he
was an alcoholic totally discredited by the German
intelligence that had debriefed him. So much of the
intelligence on key aspects of the WMD issue and the
so-called links between Iraq and al Qaeda were single-source
collections, with no corroboration inside the intelligence
community. Nevertheless, prior to his resignation
from the CIA in May 2004, then CIA director Tenet
told an audience at Georgetown University that “when
the facts are all in, we will neither be completely
right nor completely wrong.”
The Phony Iraq-al Qaeda Link.
Key members of the Bush administration did their best
to encourage this charge, starting with President
Bush who accused Iraq of sending “bomb-making
and document forgery experts to work with al Qaeda”
and providing al Qaeda with “chemical and biological
weapons training.”22 “The reason
I keep insisting that there was a relationship between
Iraq and Saddam and al Qaeda,” according to
Bush, was “because there was a relationship
between Iraq and al Qaeda.”23 Vice
President Cheney referred to “overwhelming evidence”
of these links, and Secretary of State Powell referred
to links that existed “over the years”
in a nexus that “combines classic terrorist
organizations and modern methods of murder.”24
Secretary of Defense Rumsfeld said that the link existed
“over a span of some eight to ten years”
and, when Iraq denied any linkage, Rumsfeld flippantly
replied “And Abraham Lincoln is short.”25
Most of the intelligence used in Secretary of State
Powell’s speech to the UN in February 2003 was
discredited in 2002. Finally, before and after the
invasion of Iraq, national security adviser Condoleezza
Rice repeated the myths of Iraqi training in chemical
and biological weapons for members of al Qaeda and
that the United States needed to prevent the day that
Saddam Hussein would hand “just a little vial
of something” to the terrorists.26
If the intelligence community is ever
again to be in a position to tell truth to power,
then the ethics of intelligence collection and analysis
must be revived and revamped. The pattern of corrupt
tradecraft in the run-up to the invasion of Iraq points
to a larger problem within the intelligence community
that will not be fixed by bureaucratic reorganization
or new layers of authority. The new director of national
intelligence, John Negroponte, has never acknowledged
the existence of genuine ethical problems.
More than three years after the start
of the war against Iraq, there has been no attempt
by the Senate intelligence committee to learn how
the administration used the intelligence that it received
or to investigate the illegal activity of the Office
of Special Plans in the Defense Department in producing
bogus intelligence. Senate intelligence chairman Pat
Roberts (R-KS) continues to drag his heels on this
investigation, the so-called “Phase Two”
investigation, and Senator Jay Rockefeller (D-WV),
the panel’s ranking Democrat, has offered no
protest. The exaggeration of intelligence by top administration
officials, particularly with reference to Iraqi nuclear
programs (“the smoking gun cannot be a mushroom
cloud”) and Iraqi links with al Qaeda, was obvious.
Unfortunately, there has been no attempt to build
an official record of their distortions. And the corruption
of intelligence in the run-up to the Iraq War has
received no investigation from the CIA itself or the
congressional oversight committees.
Footnotes
1 Barton Gellman and Walter Pincus, “Depiction
of Threat Outgrew Supporting Evidence,” The
Washington Post, August 10, 2003, p. 1.
2 Dafna Linzer, “Prosecutor in CIA
Leak Case Corrects Part of Court Filing,” The
Washington Post, April 12, 2006, p. 8.
3 James Risen, State of War: The Secret
History of the CIA and the Bush Administration,
New York: Free Press, 2006, p. 117.
4 Bob Drogin and John Goetz, “How
the U.S. Fell Under the Spell of ‘Curveball’,”
The Los Angeles Times, November 20, 2005, p.
1.
5 Joby Warrick, “Lacking Biolabs,
Trailers Carried Case for War,” The Washington
Post, April 12, 2006, p. 1.
6 The New York Times, May 22,
2003, p. 16.
7 Warrick, “Lacking Biolabs,”
p. 22.
8 President George Bush, Remarks in Meeting
with President Alvaro Uribe of Colombia, September
25, 2002, see
www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2002/09/20020925-1.html,
The Washington Post, December 27, 2005, p. 17.
9 Eric Schmitt, “Rumsfeld Says U.S.
Has ‘Bulletproof’ Evidence of Iraq’s
Links to al Qaeda, The New York Times, September
28, 2002, p. 9; John B. Judis and Spencer Ackerman,
“The First Casualty,” The New Republic,
June 30, 2003, p. 24.
10 Meet the Press: Interview with Vice
President Cheney, NBC television broadcast, December
9, 2001.
11 Douglas Jehl, “Report Warned Bush Team
about Intelligence Suspicions,” The New
York Times, November 6, 2005, p. 14.
12 Bob Woodward, Plan of Attack,
New York: Simon & Schuster, 2004, p. 249.
13 “Iraq’s Continuing Program
for Weapons of Mass Destruction,” National Intelligence
Council, Washington, DC, October 2002.
14 Jessica T. Mathews and Jeff Miller,
“A Tale of Two Intelligence Estimates,”
Washington, DC: Carnegie Endowment for International
Peace, 2004.
15 Thomas Powers, “The Biggest Secret,”
The New York Review of Books, February 23,
2006, p. 11. See Risen, State of War: The Secret
History of the CIA and the Bush Administration.
16 John Prados, Hoodwinked: the Documents
That Reveal How Bush Sold Us a War, The New Press,
2004.
17 Risen, p. 75.
18 Paul Pillar, Foreign Affairs,
March/April 2006, p. 77.
19 “Decoding Mr. Bush’s Denials,”
editorial, The New York Times, November 15,
2005, p. 28.
20 “Issues for the U.S. Intelligence
Community,” Richard Kerr, Thomas Wolfe, Rebecca
Donegan, and Aris Pappas, Studies in Intelligence,
Volume 49, Number 3, 2005, p. 53.
21 Greg Miller, “CIA Corrects Itself
on Arms,” The Los Angeles Times, February
1, 2005, p. 1.
22 President George W. Bush, “World
Can Rise to This Moment,” Speech, February 6,
2003.
23President Bush, Statement after Cabinet Meeting, June
17, 2004.
24 Secretary of State Colin Powell, Speech to the
UN Security Council, February 5, 2003.
25 Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld, Defense Department
Briefings, February 4, 2003.
26 National Security Advisor Condoleezza Rice, Interviews
on “Face the Nation” and “Fox News
Sunday,” March 9, 2003 and September 7, 2003.
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